Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 2.845927 3.142301 3.462164 3.833981 4.255482 4.719820 5.271906
2025-06-29 2.377058 2.767790 3.217778 3.777798 4.460862 5.273061 6.321058
2025-07-06 2.012368 2.430689 2.934768 3.593356 4.440594 5.506930 6.971553
2025-07-13 1.832952 2.282450 2.845025 3.611065 4.642995 6.008458 7.992328
2025-07-20 1.712690 2.189387 2.805941 3.676566 4.898584 6.590645 9.180014
2025-07-27 1.618741 2.117774 2.782341 3.751942 5.164797 7.204904 10.483130
2025-08-03 1.530583 2.043772 2.745120 3.798819 5.387267 7.771130 11.780663
2025-08-10 1.446970 1.967661 2.695974 3.819603 5.566944 8.284670 13.056321
2025-08-17 1.336674 1.844675 2.568769 3.710441 5.532070 8.451276 13.766692
2025-08-24 1.255562 1.757683 2.486652 3.660769 5.582394 8.755102 14.748716
2025-08-31 1.190900 1.690162 2.427894 3.640925 5.676166 9.136868 15.919507
2025-09-07 1.162528 1.674695 2.446243 3.744067 5.982484 9.916523 17.956311
2025-09-14 1.104988 1.612232 2.389123 3.721877 6.076484 10.336888 19.374944
2025-09-21 1.048638 1.548240 2.325323 3.683215 6.137379 10.702894 20.743986
2025-09-28 0.968558 1.442256 2.187304 3.506770 5.931433 10.535250 20.936285
2025-10-05 0.933987 1.406943 2.162173 3.524366 6.085380 11.087886 22.823210
2025-10-12 0.910797 1.388505 2.163401 3.588025 6.331571 11.854439 25.346327
2025-10-19 0.890825 1.374019 2.169984 3.661207 6.602526 12.705420 28.242803
2025-10-26 0.867293 1.352142 2.162245 3.706709 6.821816 13.472260 31.084935
2025-11-02 0.841095 1.324259 2.142151 3.726882 6.990394 14.146999 33.825934
2025-11-09 0.796678 1.262998 2.059646 3.620923 6.883952 14.177991 34.787091
2025-11-16 0.764088 1.220643 2.008609 3.572702 6.896315 14.488701 36.617062
2025-11-23 0.737832 1.188100 1.973507 3.553436 6.969730 14.955011 39.014007